Hey Chart Hackers,
This week we’re zeroing in on major market structure shifts across crypto.
Bitcoin is retesting key support levels, and Bitcoin Dominance sits at a critical inflection point—signaling potential rotations. We’ve mapped out high-conviction retests, breakouts, and trap setups across multiple timeframes.
Let’s dive in!
Overview
Chart #1 - Arweave (ARUSDT) 4-Hour
Chart #2 - Polkadot (DOTUSDT) 4-Hour
Chart #3 - Cronos (CROUSDT) 2-Hour
Chart #4 - Mog Coin (MOGUSDT) 8-Hour
Chart #5 - Bitcoin (BTC) 1-Day & Dominance
Chart #6 - Ethereum (ETHUSDT) 12-Hour
Chart #7 - SuperVerse (SUPERUSDT) 12-Hour
Chart #8 - Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) 1-Day
Chart #1 - Arweave (ARUSDT) 4-Hour
Chartist: Dylan’s Chart Hackers Team
(For the chart screenshot, click here.)
AR has successfully reclaimed key structure, regaining both the VWAP anchored from the high and the AVWAP anchored from the low. It is now approaching a strong confluence area at the orange shelf, aligning with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement and the 50-period EMA on the 4-hour chart. I’m looking for a pullback into this zone for a long opportunity, targeting the inefficiency fill into the supply at $5.78, and ultimately the larger unfilled imbalance near $7.00. Confluence also includes a reclaim of the range VAH and bullish structure forming on lower timeframes.
Entry: $5.13–5.29
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: $5.78
TP2: $7.01
Stop Loss: $5.01
My positioning strategy is to layer into the trade in three steps:
20% at the top of the entry zone
40% at the midpoint
40% at the bottom near the stop loss.
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Chart #2 - Polkadot (DOTUSDT) 4-Hour
Chartist: Dylan’s Chart Hackers Team
(For the chart screenshot, click here.)
The entry for this low-leverage, retest-based trade idea is defined by a pullback into a key support cluster: the anchored VWAP from the lows (pink line), the money-flow POC, the quantum reactor support, and the retest of the descending macro channel. The stop loss sits just below these levels, triggered on any rejection and breakdown.
Take-profit levels are set using a combination of the anchored VWAP from the high (yellow line), the premium zone, key resistance areas, and order-block clusters. Confluence comes from the RSI and MACD both topping out and turning down, signaling a small pullback and allowing retest. Measured-move projections and “smart targets” further refine the TP zones.
Entry: $3.5 region
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: $3.90 region (11% move)
TP2: $4.32 region (23% move)
Stop Loss: $3.33 region (candle close below) - 4%
Approximate reward-to-risk is 5:1 if TP2 is reached.
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Chart #3 - Cronos (CROUSDT) 2-Hour
Chartist: Dylan’s Chart Hackers Team
(For the chart screenshot, click here.)
CRO has surged recently on ETF news and is now approaching a key retest zone at the 0.382 Fibonacci level, the Point of Control (POC), and the 50- and 100-day moving averages. This area aligns with a strong support–resistance flip. I’m anticipating a bullish retest, targeting a short-term move toward the Value Area High, with potential for further upside.
Entry: $0.09156 - $0.09548
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: $0.098
TP2: $0.101
TP3: $0.107
Stop Loss: 4-hour candle close above $0.0906
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Chart #4 - Mog Coin (MOGUSDT) 8-Hour
Chartist: Dylan’s Chart Hackers Team
(For the chart screenshot, click here.)
MOG has flipped the previous week high (PWH) and is currently battling the previous monthly high (PMH), which has historically served as major resistance. Given the current market state, I’m looking at two potential short scenarios. If the BTC breakout is confirmed, MOG could squeeze up to the next major resistance zone—the previous quarter high (PQH). Alternatively, if BTC’s move fails and acts as a fakeout, MOG will likely reject at PMH.
Short Idea 1:
Entry $0.000001271-$0.00000132 (ladder 3 orders 20%-20%-60%)
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: $0.000001225
TP2: $0.00000116
TP3: $0.00000108
Stop Loss: 4-hour candle close above $0.00000132
Leverage: 3x-5x
Short Idea 2:
Entry $0.00000146-$0.00000152 (ladder 3 orders 20%-20%-60%)
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: $0.00000132
TP2: $0.00000120
TP3: $0.00000108
Stop Loss: 4-hour candle close above $0.00000152
Leverage: 3x-5x
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Chart #5 - Bitcoin (BTC) 1-Day & Dominance
Chartist: Dylan
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) 1-Day
(For the chart screenshot, click here.)
BTC has tapped an ATH, and shorts have no doubt piled in—setting up an opportunity for market makers to flush out the highs again before reversing to grab liquidity around the $106,000 region. My preferred scenario is a push to $113,000–$114,000 to trigger short squeezes, then a reversal. If BTC squeezes higher and buyers step in, the first target is $120,000.
BTC Dominance (BTC.D) 8-Hour
(For the chart screenshot, click here.)
BTC.D weakness has helped alt traders this week, but it’s not a time to get euphoric when alts are sitting at major resistance and BTC.D is on major support, as these zones often produce reversals. Alt traders should be careful when BTC.D taps the 64.45% region, as this could be the reversal point for alts and offer a great shorting opportunity. If that level breaks, it means alts have broken through major resistance and may run toward their next major resistance zones.
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Chart #6 - Ethereum (ETHUSDT) 12-Hour
Chartist: Dylan
(For the chart screenshot, click here.)
Those that watch my show and those in the Chart Hackers Team know I proudly longed ETH at the top on that break of the 200-day MA; that trade has now hit my TP zone, and I’m out.
If I were still long, I would look out for a sweep into the highs and subsequent rejection and also exercise caution at $2,850–$2,950 until those levels are well cleared.
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Chart #7 - SuperVerse (SUPERUSDT) 12-Hour
Chartist: Dylan
(For the chart screenshot, click here.)
My SUPER long trade has run hard and is now in the first big danger zone. This area can be considered a take-profit zone or a possible hedge-short region for net-long positions. A higher-conviction short zone I like is up around $0.75–$0.77.
Entry: $0.75-$0.775
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: $0.70
TP2: $0.66
Stop Loss: Close above $0.78
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Chart #8 - Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) 1-Day
Chartist: Dylan
(For the chart screenshot, click here.)
Bearish news lately surrounds the business—rumors of Robotaxi problems and the Trump/Elon drama—but this could still present a great opportunity to go long around $270–$275.
Entry: $275-$270
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: $315
TP2: $335
Stop Loss: Close below $265
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