Elevated Inflation Expected And We Know Reciprocating Trades
CPI risk emerges: new crypto shorts on watch for ICP, TON, HYPE breakdowns.
None of this is financial advice. Do your own research. By reading this newsletter, you acknowledge and accept the terms and conditions outlined in our disclaimer.
Hey everyone,
Our analysis shows the market is holding its breath ahead of today’s CPI release which is one of the biggest macro events of the month. Our team is closely watching how traders are waiting to see whether the data confirms a more hawkish Fed or gives risk assets room to breathe, especially with inflation expected to stay elevated due to the oil shock from the U.S.-Iran conflict and Hormuz disruptions. According to our research, the quiet price action is building serious tension, and markets are already pricing in fewer to no Fed cuts for 2026. Any higher than expected print could trigger another sharp wave of volatility. Our setups are designed to catch the explosive move, whichever way it breaks.
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Today’s Charts:
Chart #1 – Hyperliquid (HYPEUSDT) 8-Hour
Chart #2 – Toncoin (TONUSDT) 12-Hour
Chart #3 – Internet Computer (ICPUSDT) 1-Day
Chart #4 – Injective (INJUSDT) 12-Hour
Chart #5 – Microsoft (MSFT) 4-Hour
Chart #1 – Hyperliquid (HYPEUSDT) 8-Hour
Chartist: Kapoor
(For the chart screenshot, click here)
HYPE is now trading below the trendline and beginning to lose momentum. Based on our opinion, if it fails to reclaim the level soon and overall sentiment continues to weaken, a breakdown below the $0.5 fibonacci level can quickly send the price toward the next major support.
Trade Levels:
Entry: $40.23
Stop Loss: $41.39
Take Profit Levels (TP):
TP1: $38.01
TP2: $35.67
Chart #2 – Toncoin (TONUSDT) 12-Hour
Chartist: Kapoor
(For the chart screenshot, click here)
TON was rejected from $2.90 and is beginning to lose momentum. Our researchers think, if CPI comes in line and we see another push toward resistance, we are watching for a rejection back toward recent lows.
Trade Levels:
Entry: $2.32
Stop Loss: $2.90
Take Profit Levels (TP):
TP1: $2.10
TP2: $1.87
Chart #3 – Internet Computer (ICPUSDT) 1-Day
Chartist: Kapoor
(For the chart screenshot, click here)
After doing a technical analysis, we found out that ICP recently broke out after being stuck in a downtrend for a long time, but it is now facing major resistance around $3.8. We think if the price fails to reclaim this level, the breakout could turn into a fakeout with a move back toward range lows.
Trade Levels:
Entry: $3.85
Stop Loss: $4.50
Take Profit Levels (TP):
TP1: $2.68
TP2: $1.91
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Chart #4 – Injective (INJUSDT) 12-Hour
Chartist: Kapoor
(For the chart screenshot, click here)
Our research shows INJ remains in a strong uptrend and continues to outperform. However, we can see de-risking ahead of CPI or a higher than expected inflation print, the price could revisit major support zones before the trend resumes higher.
Trade Levels:
Entry: $4.10
Stop Loss: $3.79
Take Profit Levels (TP):
TP1: $4.56
TP2: $5.05
Chart #5 – Microsoft (MSFT) 4-Hour
Chartist: Kapoor
(For the chart screenshot, click here)
(MSFT refers to the stock of Microsoft and not a cryptocurrency.)
Microsoft is currently facing resistance from the trendline. Our team analyzed if it fails to reclaim this level, we could see a move back toward support where buyers may step in again.
Trade Levels:
Entry: $390
Stop Loss: $369
Take Profit Levels (TP):
TP1: $426
TP2: $457
Banter’s Take
Our analysis shows today is all about the CPI print. Our team’s trade selection reflects this perfectly. We have short setups lined up on weaker names, ready for a risk-off reaction if inflation comes in hot. At the same time, we're watching key support levels on market leaders for potential dip-buys if the data is friendly. According to our thesis, it is not about predicting the number; it is about being prepared for the volatility it will create. Have a plan and stick to it. The market will show its hand soon enough.
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